Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1.937712 2.220963 2.532486 2.900738 3.324468 3.797127 4.364892
2025-07-27 1.608334 1.996377 2.459082 3.052397 3.794458 4.693842 5.869664
2025-08-03 1.342062 1.782972 2.346292 3.120888 4.161912 5.517695 7.425910
2025-08-10 1.098581 1.548286 2.158444 3.050323 4.327114 6.098747 8.760688
2025-08-17 0.893847 1.326899 1.946414 2.902277 4.349549 6.474325 9.859079
2025-08-24 0.766132 1.192037 1.831280 2.867299 4.518236 7.070475 11.360534
2025-08-31 0.661769 1.074489 1.721533 2.818255 4.649507 7.617657 12.859429
2025-09-07 0.610330 1.031418 1.719184 2.935236 5.057414 8.654833 15.313410
2025-09-14 0.552723 0.969025 1.675074 2.973054 5.332589 9.502038 17.563835
2025-09-21 0.492824 0.893829 1.598033 2.940235 5.474463 10.129218 19.503950
2025-09-28 0.431809 0.808144 1.490688 2.835979 5.467267 10.477791 20.961221
2025-10-05 0.411259 0.794078 1.511021 2.972182 5.932670 11.777358 24.483268
2025-10-12 0.390233 0.778168 1.529216 3.113908 6.444496 13.271774 28.718935
2025-10-19 0.367414 0.755801 1.532212 3.226340 6.915696 14.759801 33.212357
2025-10-26 0.339946 0.720264 1.504071 3.269957 7.248316 16.007872 37.398592
2025-11-02 0.303684 0.661360 1.419731 3.180113 7.273927 16.587839 40.144792
2025-11-09 0.266067 0.594536 1.309745 3.017142 7.107983 16.706770 41.802305
2025-11-16 0.242410 0.555721 1.256244 2.976055 7.221434 17.495541 45.265602
2025-11-23 0.220562 0.518206 1.200847 2.922502 7.296391 18.202050 48.643585
2025-11-30 0.212299 0.511519 1.215939 3.042430 7.822185 20.112529 55.581161
2025-12-07 0.199643 0.492583 1.199422 3.080805 8.144225 21.549711 61.480639
2025-12-14 0.184074 0.464458 1.156925 3.046275 8.268040 22.481131 66.111395
2025-12-21 0.166226 0.428339 1.089997 2.937878 8.174580 22.806155 69.018682